ZIM vs NZ 1st Test Match Prediction: Who Will Win This Match?

Win Probability
Zimbabwe | New Zealand |
---|---|
28% | 72% |

New Zealand to Win- (1.2)
- New Zealand leads the head-to-head matches by 11.
- NZ win the Tri-Series Cup.
- ZIM lost all test matches against NZ.
- NZ remains undefeated in the Tri-Series.
Puntit | 1Win | BC.Game | |
ZIM to Win | 11 | 9 | 8.5 |
NZ to Win | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.2 |
Bet Now | Bet Now | Bet Now |
The stage is set at Queens Sports Club as Zimbabwe and New Zealand kick off a two-match Test series that promises fresh faces, fierce battles, and high-stakes opportunities. Zimbabwe, rebuilding with a balanced mix of experience and youth, welcomes back stars like Sikandar Raza and Ben Curran.
At the same time, Craig Ervine leads a spirited squad hungry for redemption after recent setbacks. New Zealand arrives with a reshuffled side missing big names like Williamson and Bracewell but full of raw pace and promise. Tom Latham marshals a new look Black Caps unit featuring debutant Matt Fisher and returning spinner Ajaz Patel, ready to exploit Bulawayo’s spin-friendly surface. With sunny skies, a slow pitch, and two proud cricketing nations eager to prove their depth, this Test promises grit, grind, and a glimpse into the future of both red-ball lineups.
Zimbabwe vs New Zealand Match Preview
ZIM:
Craig Ervine resumes Test captaincy, bringing stability and over a decade of international experience. He operates as a technically sound left-handed middle-order batter.
Ben Curran returns after recovering from a hand injury, expected to reinforce the top order with composure and strokeplay.
Brian Bennett, cleared after a concussion, adds youth and energy in the middle order.
He opened for Zimbabwe against South Africa, scoring 30 runs off 28 balls. He provided a good start to the team and formed a strong partnership with Sikandar Raza.
Blessing Muzarabani remains the key strike pacer—known for bounce and seam movement on slower, lower pitches. Emerging seamers include Tanaka Chivanga, Trevor Gwandu, and left-armer Newman Nyamhuri. The spin attack is likely to revolve around Wellington Masakadza and the recalled Sikandar Raza.
NZ:
Tom Latham is leading as captain, supported by his wicket-keeping and leadership skills from his stints with Warwickshire and in the national 15-member squad, which combines experienced names like Daryl Mitchell, Devon Conway, Rachin Ravindra, Mitch Santner, Ajaz Patel, and Henry Nicholls, with newcomers and youthful pace options.
Kane Williamson is absent due to commitments with Middlesex and London Spirit. Michael Bracewell is skipping the Tests for the MLC and The Hundred, a decision supported by coach Rob Walter. Ben Sears (suffering from a side injury) and Kyle Jamieson (awaiting the birth of his first child) will also miss the tour, creating opportunities for new players.
Matt Fisher, a right-arm fast-medium bowler from Northern Districts, earns his maiden Test call-up after striking 51 wickets at 24.11 in first-class cricket. NZC describe him as having real pace and “x-factor” potential.
Jacob Duffy and Will O’Rourke add pace depth, with O’Rourke showcasing his talent on debut with a nine-wicket haul in South Africa. Ajaz Patel leads the spin attack alongside Mitch Santner and Glenn Phillips, suited for Zimbabwe’s turn-friendly pitches. Henry Nicholls offers experienced top-order batting depth.
Zimbabwe vs New Zealand match details.
Match: ZIM vs NZ, 1st Test, New Zealand tour of Zimbabwe, 2025 Date and Time: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 – Sunday, August 03, 1:30 P.M., 2025 Venue: Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo Mobile- Fancode |
ZIM vs NZ Head-to-Head Record T20i (Overall)
Team | Matches Played | Won | Lost | Draw |
ZIM | 17 | 00 | 11 | 06 |
NZ | 17 | 11 | 00 | 06 |
Zimbabwe vs New Zealand Recent form
- ZIM – L, L, L, L, W
- NZ – W, L, L, W, W
Pitch and Weather Conditions
The pitch at Queens Sports Club in Bulawayo offers a balanced contest, gradually evolving for a match. In Tests, pacers can find early assistance with seam and swing due to morning moisture, while batting becomes easier through Days 2 and 3. As the game progresses, the surface slows, offering variable bounce and some turn, especially on Day 4, giving spinners a late advantage.
In limited-overs formats, pitches are usually dry and flat, benefiting strokeplay but posing early swing challenges for openers. As the ball ages, seamers rely on cutters and pace changes to exploit the conditions. In ODIs and T20Is, chasing teams often have an advantage due to consistent conditions under lights and dew. While batting first is preferred in Tests, captains typically choose to bowl first in white-ball games to capitalise on early movement and the benefits of chasing.
Bulawayo is experiencing cool, dry winter weather, which is ideal for cricket. Night temperatures range from 4°C to 9°C, while daytime highs reach 13°C to 24°C. Clear skies and no rain are expected, with moderate winds of 15 km/h to 40 km/h from the east-southeast. Humidity levels range from 60-65% at night to 25-45% during the day, creating excellent playing conditions at Queens Sports Club.
Dew Chances- Medium.
Queens Sports Club, records.
Total Matches | 30 |
Wins by Teams Batting First | 08 |
Wins by Teams Batting Second | 12 |
Average Score in First Innings | 324 |
Highest Team Total | 713(165.3) by SL, Test |
Lowest Team Total | 104/10(49) by ZIM, Test |
Zimbabwe VS New Zealand Playing XIs
ZIM: Craig Ervine, Ben Curran, Sikandar Raza, Sean Williams, Brian Bennett, Clive Madande, Blessing Muzarabani, Trevor Gwandu, Tanunurwa Makoni, Wellington Masakadza, Nick Welch.
NZ: Tom Latham (capt), Devon Conway, Jacob Duffy, Daryl Mitchell, Will Young, Mitchell Santner, Matt Henry, Michael Bracewell, Rachin Ravindra, Henry Nicholas, William O’Rourke.
South Africa vs New Zealand Key Players to Bet On
Team | Player | Recent Best Performance |
ZIM | Brian Bennet | 135(70) vs BAG, T20I |
Sikander Raza | 54(38) vs RSA, T20I | |
NZ | Rachin Ravindra | 47(27) vs RSA, T20I |
Matt Henry (Bowler) | 21-4 vs ESS, T20I |
Zimbabwe Vs New Zealand Betting Tips
- Toss- NZ
- Match- NZ
Betting Tips | Odds |
Brian Bennet, the top bowler | 6.5 |
Team to win the toss | 1.9 |
Devon Conway top Batter | 2.1 |

Yash is a seasoned cricket analyst with extensive experience in match predictions, living and breathing the sport every single day. With years of frontline reporting under his belt, he has covered everything from high-stakes IPL clashes to exclusive behind-the-scenes scoops. His work has illuminated top platforms like ESPNcricinfo, SportsKeeda, Times of India, and Hindustan Times. Known for his knack for spotting game-changers and delivering razor-sharp insights, Yash transforms every match into a compelling narrative. When he speaks, cricket fans pay attention.
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